Discover forecasting papers

This skill is a research-intake harness. It finds candidates and creates bounded, reviewable work items; it does not treat search relevance as permission or evidence to add an implementation.

Read references/intake.md before scanning or dispatching.

Scan

1. Run uv run tsf model list --json and use model-card paper URLs, titles, and public names as the deduplication baseline.
2. Search both arXiv and Hugging Face Papers. Cover the query lattice in the reference instead of relying on one broad phrase. Prefer source metadata and primary paper/project pages over search snippets.
3. Normalize arXiv identifiers and titles, collapse cross-source duplicates, and reject papers that do not actually forecast future time-series values.
4. Rank candidates by task relevance, novelty relative to the flat catalog, authoritative code availability, license clarity, recency, and implementability.
5. Return a concise candidate brief for each retained paper. Clearly distinguish facts from inference; discovery does not claim implementation or verification.

Dispatch

Dispatch only when the user or the recurring-task prompt explicitly requests it. Create at most three independent tasks in one run, one paper per task. Include the candidate brief, primary URLs, deduplication result, expected deliverable, and the instruction to use add-model only after paper, source, license, and runtime inputs are resolved. Do not ask a dispatched task to merge, publish, or modify external systems.

Without dispatch authorization, report the ranked queue in the current task. If no candidate clears the threshold, report that the scan completed with no dispatch; unchanged state is a successful monitoring result.

Integration boundary

The downstream task owns implementation. It must preserve the flat src/models/<lowercase_module_slug>/ layout, use shared components only when semantics match, and pass the repository's provenance and contract gates. Search results alone never establish a local implementation or verification result.